AI-Powered Health Economic Modeling

An AI partner for health economic modeling

HEORACLE orchestrates the entire modeling lifecycle, from concept design to final dissemination. It delivers in hours what traditionally takes weeks, with full traceability, expert oversight, and complete auditability built into every step.

Illustrative Markov state-transition diagram Two transient health states and an absorbing death state, connected by labeled transition probabilities. Generic and illustrative. p(A→A) p(B→B) p(A→B) p(A→Death) p(B→Death) STATE A e.g. progression-free STATE B e.g. progressed DEATH absorbing state
FIG. 01 — illustrative state-transition structure generic 3-state model
§ 01 — The Platform

End-to-end AI for health economics

Building a health economic model begins long before any code is written. The hardest question in outcomes research comes first, choosing the model structure that fits the decision problem at hand.

HEORACLE handles the full journey: surveying the evidence landscape, designing the model concept, converting it into validated specifications, building dual-track R/Shiny and Excel models, and drafting comprehensive technical reports.

Observed efficiency gain

The evidence gathering and synthesis work that normally consumes the first two to three weeks of model development is completed in hours, freeing your team to focus on the design decisions that require genuine expertise.

Illustrative survival extrapolation curve An observed Kaplan-Meier step function followed by a parametric extrapolated tail with an illustrative confidence band. Generic and illustrative. 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 0 12 24 36 48 60 TIME (MONTHS) SURVIVAL PROBABILITY Observed Extrapolated Illustrative CI band
FIG. 02 — illustrative survival extrapolation observed KM + parametric tail
Figure

Outputs built to be quantified, not just described

Reporting reads directly from the completed model and produces sensitivity analysis figures alongside the results narrative, in the same visual language analysts already use to communicate cost-effectiveness.

Dominated Tradeoff Dominant PSA draw
Illustrative cost-effectiveness plane A cost-effectiveness plane with four shaded quadrants, a probabilistic sensitivity analysis point cloud, a base-case estimate, and a willingness-to-pay threshold line. Generic and illustrative. WTP DOMINATED TRADEOFF UNCOMMON DOMINANT Δ EFFECT (QALYs) Δ COST
FIG. 03 — illustrative cost-effectiveness plane PSA cloud, base case, WTP threshold
§ 02 — Modules

The Four Pillars of HEORACLE

Specialized AI modules that act as your expert team, guiding the entire model development process from strategy to final report.

01 / 04

Concept Design

The Architect

Conducts parallel evidence gathering across the disease landscape and synthesizes findings into a structured, citation-ready model concept document grounded in your decision problem.

evidence graph, illustrative
02 / 04

Model Specification

The Translator

Synthesizes published articles or concept documents into implementation-ready specifications with source attribution, cross-article comparison, and per-article summaries.

article → spec, illustrative
03 / 04

Coding

The Factory

Takes an approved specification and autonomously builds two validated models: a fully functional Excel workbook and an interactive R/Shiny application, with built-in sensitivity analyses and quality control.

dual-track output, illustrative
04 / 04

Reporting

The Analyst

Reads directly from your completed model and generates a structured technical report with methods documentation, results interpretation, sensitivity analysis figures, and analytical narratives.

tornado diagram, illustrative
§ 03 — Specification

Built for Outcomes Research Teams

Every module is purpose-built for the realities of HEOR, Market Access, and Medical Affairs work.

01

Weeks to Hours

Evidence gathering and synthesis that used to consume weeks is completed in a fraction of the time.

02

Citation-Ready

Every design choice is cited to its evidence source, giving your team a transparent audit trail.

03

Dual-Track Output

Produces both R/Shiny applications and Excel workbooks from a single validated specification.

04

Expert in the Loop

AI handles the mechanics; your team stays in control of every structural and methodological decision.

05

Automated Reporting

Generates structured technical reports with methods documentation, results, and sensitivity analyses.

06

Full Traceability

Reconciles your uploaded materials against research findings, flagging conflicts and tracking provenance.

§ 04 — Demonstration

See It in Action

Watch each module walk through its complete workflow.

01 / 04 Concept Design The Architect

Ready to accelerate your modeling workflow?

Log in to the HEORACLE platform and start building evidence-grounded models today.